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Red445
203161.7
1089149.4
365183.5
Blue238
1391144.6
5113118.3
816130.0
94%Model gave it6%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4282240100300500600700445238

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
365
#3
183.51.6
174.1175.8
Auto25.6
Teleop136.4
End24.4
red by 38.9
1391
#12
144.60.9
135.2136.2
Auto23.0
Teleop104.5
End19.9
Second
203
#2
161.71.6
153.8155.3
Auto22.0
Teleop121.8
End18.9
red by 31.6
816
#32
130.02.1
121.4123.5
Auto16.4
Teleop89.1
End28.8
Third
1089
#15
149.41.5
142.9144.4
Auto17.7
Teleop120.2
End10.9
red by 31.1
5113
#19
118.30.6
112.8113.4
Auto19.5
Teleop86.6
End11.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
93%Auto Quest oddsEarned46%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed