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Red379
223169.8
1228130.2
1640182.8
Blue275
5401135.8
316178.7
7110139.9
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions354351250300400450379275

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1640
#10
182.80.1
179.8179.9
Auto24.0
Teleop135.4
End23.6
red by 4.0
316
#6
178.70.8
176.2177.0
Auto19.1
Teleop142.5
End17.2
Second
223
#5
169.81.2
161.9163.1
Auto18.2
Teleop122.9
End29.4
red by 29.9
7110
#14
139.90.8
138.3139.2
Auto17.7
Teleop103.1
End17.9
Third
1228
#20
130.20.6
125.4126.0
Auto16.9
Teleop100.8
End13.4
blue by 5.6
5401
#23
135.80.4
135.5135.9
Auto16.8
Teleop101.1
End16.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
80%Auto Quest oddsEarned66%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed