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Red261
4750124.8
1370111.5
2191146.0
Blue298
1089149.4
1391144.6
1712160.5
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2403750100200300500600261298

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2191
#26
146.01.0
141.6142.7
Auto17.7
Teleop106.0
End22.1
blue by 14.5
160.50.7
153.6154.4
Auto24.5
Teleop122.8
End14.3
Second
4750
#16
124.80.1
122.2122.1
Auto16.6
Teleop92.9
End16.0
blue by 24.6
1089
#15
149.41.7
144.4146.1
Auto17.7
Teleop120.2
End10.9
Third
1370
#29
111.50.2
111.4111.2
Auto19.0
Teleop79.3
End11.6
blue by 33.1
1391
#12
144.61.2
136.2137.3
Auto23.0
Teleop104.5
End19.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
32%Auto Quest oddsEarned78%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed