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Red433
203161.7
6921100.3
5113118.3
Blue139
1791100.6
224134.7
702492.0
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3202250100200400500433139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
203
#2
161.71.8
155.3157.1
Auto22.0
Teleop121.8
End18.9
red by 27.0
224
#21
134.70.3
135.0135.3
Auto17.9
Teleop100.9
End15.2
Second
5113
#19
118.30.9
113.4114.3
Auto19.5
Teleop86.6
End11.9
red by 17.7
1791
#35
100.61.9
106.1104.1
Auto14.5
Teleop79.6
End8.8
Third
6921
#30
100.30.5
96.396.8
Auto12.4
Teleop82.5
End5.8
red by 8.3
7024
#37
92.00.3
92.592.7
Auto14.0
Teleop67.8
End11.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
61%Auto Quest oddsEarned22%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed