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Red197
2458107.2
816130.0
1370111.5
Blue257
3151114.3
204102.1
5895159.2
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2663160100200400500197257

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
816
#32
130.02.3
123.5125.8
Auto16.4
Teleop89.1
End28.8
blue by 29.1
159.20.8
155.7156.5
Auto20.9
Teleop115.6
End22.6
Second
1370
#29
111.50.2
111.2111.4
Auto19.0
Teleop79.3
End11.6
blue by 2.8
3151
#22
114.30.4
114.7114.3
Auto20.5
Teleop82.8
End12.0
Third
2458
#38
107.20.3
105.8105.5
Auto16.0
Teleop83.8
End11.3
red by 5.2
204
#33
102.10.2
101.8102.0
Auto17.2
Teleop72.2
End13.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
30%Auto Quest oddsEarned69%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed