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Qual 602018 MAR District Seneca Event
Red348
834183.3
2191146.0
5401135.8
Blue270
224134.7
4285124.8
365183.5
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34132602006008001,0001,2001,4001,600348270

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
834
#4
183.30.2
179.8→180.0
Auto19.1
Teleop137.4
End26.0
blue by 0.2
365
#3
183.51.6
177.6→179.1
Auto25.6
Teleop136.4
End24.4
Second
2191
#26
146.01.2
142.7→143.9
Auto17.7
Teleop106.0
End22.1
red by 11.3
224
#21
134.70.2
135.3→135.1
Auto17.9
Teleop100.9
End15.2
Third
5401
#23
135.80.6
135.9→135.3
Auto16.8
Teleop101.1
End16.7
red by 11.0
4285
#27
124.80.2
124.3→124.1
Auto18.2
Teleop93.9
End15.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
48%Auto Quest oddsEarned74%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
14%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsEarned