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Red167
5113118.3
1089149.4
702492.0
Blue475
316178.7
272155.0
1228130.2
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2023990100300500600700167475

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1089
#15
149.41.2
146.1147.3
Auto17.7
Teleop120.2
End10.9
blue by 29.3
316
#6
178.70.2
177.0177.2
Auto19.1
Teleop142.5
End17.2
Second
5113
#19
118.31.2
114.3115.5
Auto19.5
Teleop86.6
End11.9
blue by 36.8
272
#9
155.00.2
154.1153.9
Auto20.8
Teleop104.9
End30.0
Third
7024
#37
92.00.2
92.792.6
Auto14.0
Teleop67.8
End11.0
blue by 38.3
1228
#20
130.20.6
126.0126.6
Auto16.9
Teleop100.8
End13.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
41%Auto Quest oddsEarned83%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed17%Face the Boss oddsMissed