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Red392
223169.8
203161.7
5895159.2
Blue339
1089149.4
1228130.2
224134.7
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3672620100200300400500600392339

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
223
#5
169.81.6
148.4150.0
Auto18.2
Teleop122.9
End29.4
red by 20.4
1089
#15
149.40.5
137.9138.4
Auto17.7
Teleop120.2
End10.9
Second
203
#2
161.70.6
147.9148.5
Auto22.0
Teleop121.8
End18.9
red by 27.0
224
#21
134.70.2
131.8131.6
Auto17.9
Teleop100.9
End15.2
Third
159.20.3
145.1144.8
Auto20.9
Teleop115.6
End22.6
red by 28.9
1228
#20
130.20.1
127.7127.8
Auto16.9
Teleop100.8
End13.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
51%Auto Quest oddsEarned37%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed