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Red369
2600124.8
1712160.5
2180142.0
Blue242
816130.0
1640182.8
4285124.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2933370100200400500600700800369242

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
160.50.5
154.2153.8
Auto24.5
Teleop122.8
End14.3
blue by 22.2
1640
#10
182.80.2
178.2178.4
Auto24.0
Teleop135.4
End23.6
Second
2180
#24
142.00.5
142.3142.9
Auto19.3
Teleop107.8
End15.2
red by 12.0
816
#32
130.09.7
94.6104.3
Auto16.4
Teleop89.1
End28.8
Third
2600
#18
124.80.0
110.4110.4
Auto16.7
Teleop94.1
End15.5
Level
4285
#27
124.88.5
102.1110.6
Auto18.2
Teleop93.9
End15.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
23%Auto Quest oddsMissed52%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed