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Red231
272155.0
714103.7
204102.1
Blue328
1712160.5
87102.5
1228130.2
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions267341100200300400500231328

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
272
#9
155.00.5
153.9154.4
Auto20.8
Teleop104.9
End30.0
blue by 5.5
160.51.6
154.8156.4
Auto24.5
Teleop122.8
End14.3
Second
714
#31
103.70.7
102.5103.2
Auto14.9
Teleop78.9
End11.3
blue by 26.5
1228
#20
130.21.1
126.6127.8
Auto16.9
Teleop100.8
End13.4
Third
204
#33
102.10.1
102.0102.1
Auto17.2
Teleop72.2
End13.2
blue by 0.5
87
#28
102.50.3
101.6101.9
Auto15.2
Teleop74.4
End14.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
51%Auto Quest oddsEarned45%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
17%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed