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Red295
1089149.4
549097.8
5401135.8
Blue313
5420156.0
6226116.2
2180142.0
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions273339100200300400500295313

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1089
#15
149.40.9
147.3148.2
Auto17.7
Teleop120.2
End10.9
blue by 6.6
156.01.2
153.4154.6
Auto15.9
Teleop116.9
End20.2
Second
5401
#23
135.80.5
135.3135.8
Auto16.8
Teleop101.1
End16.7
blue by 6.2
2180
#24
142.01.0
142.7141.8
Auto19.3
Teleop107.8
End15.2
Third
5490
#39
97.80.8
99.598.8
Auto14.6
Teleop79.2
End3.4
blue by 18.4
6226
#25
116.20.4
115.2115.5
Auto20.0
Teleop86.2
End12.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
42%Auto Quest oddsMissed44%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed