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Red191
1391144.6
204102.1
2458107.2
Blue368
2495121.4
5401135.8
2180142.0
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions253349100200300400500600191368

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1391
#12
144.61.6
139.4141.0
Auto23.0
Teleop104.5
End19.9
red by 2.6
2180
#24
142.00.5
141.8141.3
Auto19.3
Teleop107.8
End15.2
Second
2458
#38
107.20.9
106.3107.2
Auto16.0
Teleop83.8
End11.3
blue by 28.6
5401
#23
135.80.1
135.8135.7
Auto16.8
Teleop101.1
End16.7
Third
204
#33
102.10.0
102.1102.1
Auto17.2
Teleop72.2
End13.2
blue by 19.3
2495
#13
121.41.1
117.3118.4
Auto17.2
Teleop91.8
End15.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
85%Auto Quest oddsEarned42%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed