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Red217
5113118.3
224134.7
5420156.0
Blue209
1640182.8
1370111.5
2729149.3
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions293369100200400500600217209

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
156.01.3
154.6155.9
Auto15.9
Teleop116.9
End20.2
blue by 26.8
1640
#10
182.81.6
181.2182.8
Auto24.0
Teleop135.4
End23.6
Second
224
#21
134.70.4
135.0134.7
Auto17.9
Teleop100.9
End15.2
blue by 14.6
2729
#17
149.30.2
150.4150.2
Auto27.7
Teleop104.6
End18.4
Third
5113
#19
118.31.4
116.6118.0
Auto19.5
Teleop86.6
End11.9
red by 6.8
1370
#29
111.50.1
111.7111.9
Auto19.0
Teleop79.3
End11.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
53%Auto Quest oddsEarned95%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed