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Quarterfinal 1-12018 NMRC Championship
Red434
2883165.1
4539220.8
303696.6
Blue238
3313143.2
4181146.7
3102124.6
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4232440200600800434238

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4539
#1
220.80.6
218.4→219.0
Auto27.0
Teleop155.6
End41.8
red by 74.1
4181
#4
146.70.1
146.5→146.6
Auto21.3
Teleop104.2
End21.8
Second
2883
#5
165.10.6
162.9→163.4
Auto21.4
Teleop125.5
End18.5
red by 21.9
3313
#8
143.20.5
144.3→143.8
Auto18.3
Teleop105.2
End18.6
Third
3036
#16
96.60.2
96.2→96.4
Auto11.9
Teleop73.5
End12.5
blue by 28.0
3102
#13
124.60.4
123.9→124.3
Auto19.9
Teleop94.5
End12.1