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Qual 382018 NMRC Championship
Red231
4623153.2
313499.1
5913145.8
Blue217
4181146.7
7235110.8
5253114.5
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3452860100200400500600700800231217

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4623
#7
153.20.4
155.2→154.7
Auto16.9
Teleop116.0
End16.9
red by 6.5
4181
#4
146.70.8
145.7→146.5
Auto21.3
Teleop104.2
End21.8
Second
5913
#6
145.81.4
144.4→145.8
Auto21.0
Teleop106.6
End17.6
red by 31.3
5253
#19
114.50.5
114.0→114.5
Auto15.0
Teleop89.6
End10.8
Third
3134
#9
99.11.0
98.0→99.1
Auto16.2
Teleop75.4
End7.9
blue by 11.8
7235
#18
110.80.2
110.6→110.8
Auto14.9
Teleop82.3
End14.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
64%Auto Quest oddsMissed31%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsMissed