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Red302
4480101.4
3275126.7
3277147.3
Blue212
4674112.0
3313143.2
876178.0
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2673680100200300400500600302212

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3277
#15
147.30.8
144.5145.4
Auto15.8
Teleop116.2
End13.6
blue by 30.8
876
#2
178.01.4
175.6177.0
Auto23.6
Teleop136.0
End17.9
Second
3275
#12
126.70.2
126.3126.5
Auto14.8
Teleop97.2
End14.2
blue by 16.5
143.21.5
145.8144.3
Auto18.3
Teleop105.2
End18.6
Third
4480
#10
101.40.7
100.7101.4
Auto17.1
Teleop76.7
End9.0
blue by 10.6
4674
#14
112.00.4
111.6112.0
Auto14.6
Teleop83.3
End15.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
18%Auto Quest oddsMissed51%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed9%Face the Boss oddsMissed