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Qual 12018 NMRC Championship
Red187
4480101.4
6453106.9
2883165.1
Blue301
4623153.2
5253114.5
3750189.9
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2154150100300500600700187301

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2883
#5
165.11.1
149.8→150.9
Auto21.4
Teleop125.5
End18.5
blue by 24.8
3750
#3
189.91.5
190.9→192.4
Auto19.7
Teleop151.7
End18.6
Second
6453
#17
106.93.4
121.7→118.3
Auto14.8
Teleop81.7
End12.5
blue by 46.2
4623
#7
153.20.6
160.9→160.3
Auto16.9
Teleop116.0
End16.9
Third
4480
#10
101.40.2
101.5→101.7
Auto17.1
Teleop76.7
End9.0
blue by 13.1
5253
#19
114.50.4
124.5→124.9
Auto15.0
Teleop89.6
End10.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
39%Auto Quest oddsMissed66%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed12%Face the Boss oddsMissed