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Red51
303696.6
313499.1
4674112.0
Blue455
5998120.8
876178.0
4181146.7
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions180391010030050060070051455

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4674
#14
112.01.7
123.1121.4
Auto14.6
Teleop83.3
End15.1
blue by 66.0
876
#2
178.00.7
165.8166.5
Auto23.6
Teleop136.0
End17.9
Second
99.10.5
98.999.4
Auto16.2
Teleop75.4
End7.9
blue by 47.6
146.71.3
136.2137.5
Auto21.3
Teleop104.2
End21.8
Third
3036
#16
96.60.9
110.2109.3
Auto11.9
Teleop73.5
End12.5
blue by 24.2
5998
#11
120.81.0
116.7117.7
Auto17.2
Teleop93.7
End11.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsMissed62%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed12%Face the Boss oddsMissed