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Qual 32018 NMRC Championship
Red422
3102124.6
4539220.8
3313143.2
Blue292
5913145.8
7235110.8
3277147.3
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4012400100200300500600700800422292

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4539
#1
220.81.3
208.0→206.8
Auto27.0
Teleop155.6
End41.8
red by 73.5
3277
#15
147.30.9
139.7→140.6
Auto15.8
Teleop116.2
End13.6
Second
3313
#8
143.21.4
151.4→152.8
Auto18.3
Teleop105.2
End18.6
blue by 2.6
5913
#6
145.80.6
140.3→140.9
Auto21.0
Teleop106.6
End17.6
Third
3102
#13
124.60.2
120.8→121.1
Auto19.9
Teleop94.5
End12.1
red by 13.8
7235
#18
110.80.7
100.2→100.9
Auto14.9
Teleop82.3
End14.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
84%Auto Quest oddsEarned65%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
53%Face the Boss oddsEarned3%Face the Boss oddsMissed