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Qual 42018 NMRC Championship
Red117
3275126.7
4181146.7
303696.6
Blue441
4480101.4
3750189.9
876178.0
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2074010100300500600117441

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4181
#4
146.71.7
137.5→139.3
Auto21.3
Teleop104.2
End21.8
blue by 43.2
3750
#3
189.90.7
192.4→193.1
Auto19.7
Teleop151.7
End18.6
Second
3275
#12
126.71.1
124.9→126.0
Auto14.8
Teleop97.2
End14.2
blue by 51.3
876
#2
178.01.3
166.5→167.8
Auto23.6
Teleop136.0
End17.9
Third
3036
#16
96.61.9
109.3→107.4
Auto11.9
Teleop73.5
End12.5
blue by 4.8
4480
#10
101.40.6
101.7→101.1
Auto17.1
Teleop76.7
End9.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
47%Auto Quest oddsMissed58%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed10%Face the Boss oddsMissed