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Red177
5998120.8
4674112.0
4623153.2
Blue365
5253114.5
4539220.8
3102124.6
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2623770100200300500600177365

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
153.21.0
160.3159.3
Auto16.9
Teleop116.0
End16.9
blue by 67.6
220.80.4
206.8206.3
Auto27.0
Teleop155.6
End41.8
Second
5998
#11
120.81.9
117.7119.6
Auto17.2
Teleop93.7
End11.6
blue by 3.8
3102
#13
124.60.8
121.1121.8
Auto19.9
Teleop94.5
End12.1
Third
4674
#14
112.02.1
121.4119.2
Auto14.6
Teleop83.3
End15.1
blue by 2.5
5253
#19
114.50.6
124.9124.3
Auto15.0
Teleop89.6
End10.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
39%Auto Quest oddsMissed83%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed39%Face the Boss oddsMissed