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Qual 112018 NMRC Championship
Red252
3275126.7
3277147.3
4181146.7
Blue355
6453106.9
4539220.8
5998120.8
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2903270100200400500600252355

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3277
#15
147.30.1
143.1→143.2
Auto15.8
Teleop116.2
End13.6
blue by 73.5
4539
#1
220.80.3
206.3→206.0
Auto27.0
Teleop155.6
End41.8
Second
4181
#4
146.70.1
140.2→140.3
Auto21.3
Teleop104.2
End21.8
red by 25.9
5998
#11
120.80.3
120.4→120.1
Auto17.2
Teleop93.7
End11.6
Third
3275
#12
126.70.2
127.1→127.3
Auto14.8
Teleop97.2
End14.2
red by 19.8
6453
#17
106.92.7
112.7→110.0
Auto14.8
Teleop81.7
End12.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
54%Auto Quest oddsMissed29%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed27%Face the Boss oddsMissed