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Red224
313499.1
7235110.8
4623153.2
Blue426
303696.6
876178.0
2883165.1
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2053710100300400500600224426

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
153.21.2
159.3158.1
Auto16.9
Teleop116.0
End16.9
blue by 24.8
876
#2
178.01.2
167.8169.1
Auto23.6
Teleop136.0
End17.9
Second
7235
#18
110.81.3
104.0105.3
Auto14.9
Teleop82.3
End14.1
blue by 54.3
165.10.8
152.4153.2
Auto21.4
Teleop125.5
End18.5
Third
99.10.9
99.098.1
Auto16.2
Teleop75.4
End7.9
red by 2.5
3036
#16
96.62.5
105.6103.1
Auto11.9
Teleop73.5
End12.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
47%Auto Quest oddsMissed27%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed