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Red133
6453106.9
5913145.8
3275126.7
Blue203
3277147.3
5998120.8
4674112.0
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2903170100200400500133203

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
145.80.1
142.2142.0
Auto21.0
Teleop106.6
End17.6
blue by 1.5
3277
#15
147.31.0
142.1143.1
Auto15.8
Teleop116.2
End13.6
Second
3275
#12
126.70.9
126.3127.1
Auto14.8
Teleop97.2
End14.2
red by 6.0
5998
#11
120.80.8
119.6120.4
Auto17.2
Teleop93.7
End11.6
Third
6453
#17
106.92.8
115.4112.7
Auto14.8
Teleop81.7
End12.5
blue by 5.1
4674
#14
112.02.0
119.2117.2
Auto14.6
Teleop83.3
End15.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
30%Auto Quest oddsMissed21%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed