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Red254
7235110.8
2883165.1
3102124.6
Blue317
4181146.7
3313143.2
3750189.9
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions229428100300500600700800254317

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
165.11.0
151.3152.4
Auto21.4
Teleop125.5
End18.5
blue by 24.8
189.90.7
193.1193.9
Auto19.7
Teleop151.7
End18.6
Second
3102
#13
124.60.8
121.8122.6
Auto19.9
Teleop94.5
End12.1
blue by 22.1
146.70.9
139.3140.2
Auto21.3
Teleop104.2
End21.8
Third
7235
#18
110.81.7
102.3104.0
Auto14.9
Teleop82.3
End14.1
blue by 32.4
143.20.9
154.4155.3
Auto18.3
Teleop105.2
End18.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
57%Auto Quest oddsMissed68%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss oddsMissed28%Face the Boss oddsMissed