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Red185
6453106.9
3102124.6
4674112.0
Blue221
5913145.8
4623153.2
303696.6
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2353550100200300400500600185221

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3102
#13
124.60.6
122.6123.3
Auto19.9
Teleop94.5
End12.1
blue by 28.6
153.20.7
158.1157.4
Auto16.9
Teleop116.0
End16.9
Second
4674
#14
112.02.4
117.2114.8
Auto14.6
Teleop83.3
End15.1
blue by 33.8
145.80.6
142.0141.4
Auto21.0
Teleop106.6
End17.6
Third
6453
#17
106.91.5
110.0108.5
Auto14.8
Teleop81.7
End12.5
red by 10.4
3036
#16
96.61.5
103.1101.6
Auto11.9
Teleop73.5
End12.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
30%Auto Quest oddsMissed35%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed