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Red106
5253114.5
3277147.3
3313143.2
Blue349
4539220.8
313499.1
5998120.8
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2643420100200300400500600106349

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3277
#15
147.30.1
143.2143.1
Auto15.8
Teleop116.2
End13.6
blue by 73.5
220.80.5
206.0206.5
Auto27.0
Teleop155.6
End41.8
Second
143.20.4
155.4155.0
Auto18.3
Teleop105.2
End18.6
red by 22.4
5998
#11
120.80.4
120.1120.5
Auto17.2
Teleop93.7
End11.6
Third
5253
#19
114.51.5
122.9121.4
Auto15.0
Teleop89.6
End10.8
red by 15.4
99.10.9
97.696.7
Auto16.2
Teleop75.4
End7.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
34%Auto Quest oddsMissed55%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed18%Face the Boss oddsMissed