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Red487
876178.0
4539220.8
7235110.8
Blue205
5998120.8
4623153.2
6453106.9
94%Model gave it6%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4272160100300500600487205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
220.81.5
207.5209.0
Auto27.0
Teleop155.6
End41.8
red by 67.6
153.20.4
156.0155.5
Auto16.9
Teleop116.0
End16.9
Second
876
#2
178.00.9
171.6172.5
Auto23.6
Teleop136.0
End17.9
red by 57.3
5998
#11
120.80.5
121.5122.0
Auto17.2
Teleop93.7
End11.6
Third
7235
#18
110.80.1
107.1106.9
Auto14.9
Teleop82.3
End14.1
red by 3.9
6453
#17
106.90.6
106.8106.2
Auto14.8
Teleop81.7
End12.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
69%Auto Quest oddsEarned29%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
46%Face the Boss oddsEarned4%Face the Boss oddsMissed