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Qual 212018 NMRC Championship
Red312
4674112.0
5913145.8
4181146.7
Blue287
2883165.1
5253114.5
3313143.2
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2843370100200400500312287

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4181
#4
146.70.3
140.5→140.7
Auto21.3
Teleop104.2
End21.8
blue by 18.4
2883
#5
165.11.1
155.7→156.8
Auto21.4
Teleop125.5
End18.5
Second
5913
#6
145.80.2
139.8→140.1
Auto21.0
Teleop106.6
End17.6
red by 2.6
3313
#8
143.21.2
153.8→152.6
Auto18.3
Teleop105.2
End18.6
Third
4674
#14
112.01.0
111.2→110.2
Auto14.6
Teleop83.3
End15.1
blue by 2.5
5253
#19
114.51.8
119.2→117.5
Auto15.0
Teleop89.6
End10.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
52%Auto Quest oddsEarned42%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed