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Qual 232018 NMRC Championship
Red407
4539220.8
4674112.0
2883165.1
Blue228
3750189.9
6453106.9
876178.0
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3543040100200400500600700800407228

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4539
#1
220.81.7
209.0→210.7
Auto27.0
Teleop155.6
End41.8
red by 30.9
3750
#3
189.91.0
192.3→191.3
Auto19.7
Teleop151.7
End18.6
Second
2883
#5
165.10.6
156.8→157.4
Auto21.4
Teleop125.5
End18.5
blue by 12.9
876
#2
178.01.2
172.5→173.7
Auto23.6
Teleop136.0
End17.9
Third
4674
#14
112.00.2
110.2→110.1
Auto14.6
Teleop83.3
End15.1
red by 5.1
6453
#17
106.90.2
106.2→106.0
Auto14.8
Teleop81.7
End12.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
59%Auto Quest oddsEarned50%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
34%Face the Boss oddsMissed14%Face the Boss oddsMissed