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Red79
5998120.8
303696.6
3313143.2
Blue339
5913145.8
4480101.4
4181146.7
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions266321010020040050079339

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
143.21.3
152.6151.3
Auto18.3
Teleop105.2
End18.6
blue by 3.5
146.70.9
140.7141.6
Auto21.3
Teleop104.2
End21.8
Second
5998
#11
120.80.6
122.0122.7
Auto17.2
Teleop93.7
End11.6
blue by 25.1
145.80.9
140.1140.9
Auto21.0
Teleop106.6
End17.6
Third
3036
#16
96.60.2
99.299.0
Auto11.9
Teleop73.5
End12.5
blue by 4.8
4480
#10
101.40.1
99.198.9
Auto17.1
Teleop76.7
End9.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
32%Auto Quest oddsMissed66%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed