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Red215
5253114.5
5998120.8
4480101.4
Blue370
7235110.8
2883165.1
6453106.9
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2313090100200400500215370

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5998
#11
120.80.6
122.7122.1
Auto17.2
Teleop93.7
End11.6
blue by 44.3
165.11.0
157.4158.4
Auto21.4
Teleop125.5
End18.5
Second
5253
#19
114.51.8
117.5115.7
Auto15.0
Teleop89.6
End10.8
red by 3.7
7235
#18
110.80.4
106.9107.3
Auto14.9
Teleop82.3
End14.1
Third
4480
#10
101.40.4
98.999.4
Auto17.1
Teleop76.7
End9.0
blue by 5.5
6453
#17
106.90.9
106.0105.1
Auto14.8
Teleop81.7
End12.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
21%Auto Quest oddsMissed24%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
1%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed