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Qual 272018 NMRC Championship
Red441
4539220.8
876178.0
4623153.2
Blue210
3313143.2
5913145.8
3275126.7
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4632410100200300400500600700800441210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4539
#1
220.81.9
210.7→212.6
Auto27.0
Teleop155.6
End41.8
red by 75.0
5913
#6
145.81.3
140.9→142.2
Auto21.0
Teleop106.6
End17.6
Second
876
#2
178.00.2
173.7→173.9
Auto23.6
Teleop136.0
End17.9
red by 34.8
3313
#8
143.22.1
151.3→149.2
Auto18.3
Teleop105.2
End18.6
Third
4623
#7
153.20.3
155.4→155.1
Auto16.9
Teleop116.0
End16.9
red by 26.5
3275
#12
126.70.1
126.8→126.6
Auto14.8
Teleop97.2
End14.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
92%Auto Quest oddsEarned60%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
59%Face the Boss oddsEarned4%Face the Boss oddsMissed