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Red242
3277147.3
4674112.0
5253114.5
Blue332
7235110.8
3750189.9
303696.6
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2603220100200400500242332

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3277
#15
147.30.8
142.3143.1
Auto15.8
Teleop116.2
End13.6
blue by 42.7
189.90.7
189.7189.0
Auto19.7
Teleop151.7
End18.6
Second
5253
#19
114.51.2
115.7114.5
Auto15.0
Teleop89.6
End10.8
red by 3.7
7235
#18
110.81.3
107.3108.6
Auto14.9
Teleop82.3
End14.1
Third
4674
#14
112.00.3
110.1110.4
Auto14.6
Teleop83.3
End15.1
red by 15.4
3036
#16
96.61.2
99.097.9
Auto11.9
Teleop73.5
End12.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
10%Auto Quest oddsMissed16%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed