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Qual 292018 NMRC Championship
Red282
4181146.7
3313143.2
6453106.9
Blue232
3102124.6
313499.1
4480101.4
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3302260400600800282232

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4181
#4
146.71.3
141.6→142.9
Auto21.3
Teleop104.2
End21.8
red by 22.1
3102
#13
124.60.2
122.1→121.9
Auto19.9
Teleop94.5
End12.1
Second
3313
#8
143.22.0
149.2→147.2
Auto18.3
Teleop105.2
End18.6
red by 41.8
4480
#10
101.40.6
99.4→99.9
Auto17.1
Teleop76.7
End9.0
Third
6453
#17
106.90.3
105.1→105.4
Auto14.8
Teleop81.7
End12.5
red by 7.9
3134
#9
99.10.4
95.9→96.3
Auto16.2
Teleop75.4
End7.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
66%Auto Quest oddsMissed35%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
11%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed