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Qual 312018 NMRC Championship
Red272
3277147.3
4623153.2
2883165.1
Blue417
4539220.8
4181146.7
313499.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions315354100200400500600700272417

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2883
#5
165.11.9
158.4→160.2
Auto21.4
Teleop125.5
End18.5
blue by 55.7
4539
#1
220.81.9
212.6→214.4
Auto27.0
Teleop155.6
End41.8
Second
4623
#7
153.20.1
155.1→155.1
Auto16.9
Teleop116.0
End16.9
red by 6.5
4181
#4
146.71.2
142.9→144.1
Auto21.3
Teleop104.2
End21.8
Third
3277
#15
147.30.8
143.1→144.0
Auto15.8
Teleop116.2
End13.6
red by 48.2
3134
#9
99.10.6
96.3→97.0
Auto16.2
Teleop75.4
End7.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
48%Auto Quest oddsEarned81%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed40%Face the Boss oddsEarned