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Red272
5253114.5
6453106.9
5913145.8
Blue372
3102124.6
303696.6
876178.0
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2573280100200300400500272372

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
145.80.7
142.2143.0
Auto21.0
Teleop106.6
End17.6
blue by 32.2
876
#2
178.00.5
173.9174.4
Auto23.6
Teleop136.0
End17.9
Second
5253
#19
114.50.8
114.5113.7
Auto15.0
Teleop89.6
End10.8
blue by 10.1
3102
#13
124.60.2
121.9122.0
Auto19.9
Teleop94.5
End12.1
Third
6453
#17
106.90.4
105.4105.8
Auto14.8
Teleop81.7
End12.5
red by 10.4
3036
#16
96.61.0
97.296.3
Auto11.9
Teleop73.5
End12.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
24%Auto Quest oddsEarned42%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsEarned8%Face the Boss oddsMissed