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Red177
399183.2
687166.9
6824126.3
Blue487
987178.9
842198.6
3965131.3
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions340373100200300400500600177487

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
399
#17
183.20.0
183.4183.3
Auto19.4
Teleop134.6
End31.5
blue by 15.4
842
#3
198.60.4
197.8198.2
Auto27.9
Teleop143.7
End27.0
Second
687
#7
166.90.5
166.0166.5
Auto28.6
Teleop122.2
End18.8
blue by 12.0
987
#6
178.90.1
178.7178.8
Auto23.5
Teleop129.2
End26.0
Third
6824
#13
126.30.1
126.2126.3
Auto18.7
Teleop96.6
End9.1
blue by 5.1
3965
#28
131.30.4
130.5130.9
Auto17.9
Teleop93.6
End21.2