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Red172
399183.2
687166.9
6824126.3
Blue460
987178.9
842198.6
3965131.3
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions329379100200300500600172460

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
399
#17
183.20.2
183.3183.2
Auto19.4
Teleop134.6
End31.5
blue by 15.4
842
#3
198.60.4
198.2198.6
Auto27.9
Teleop143.7
End27.0
Second
687
#7
166.90.4
166.5166.9
Auto28.6
Teleop122.2
End18.8
blue by 12.0
987
#6
178.90.1
178.8178.9
Auto23.5
Teleop129.2
End26.0
Third
6824
#13
126.30.0
126.3126.3
Auto18.7
Teleop96.6
End9.1
blue by 5.1
3965
#28
131.30.4
130.9131.3
Auto17.9
Teleop93.6
End21.2