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Red400
2710148.9
6411169.1
4149.5
Blue183
504994.4
3495129.8
4486146.6
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions329270100200300400500400183

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6411
#15
169.11.8
152.0153.8
Auto17.5
Teleop130.1
End21.8
red by 22.5
4486
#25
146.61.6
145.6147.1
Auto15.4
Teleop105.5
End24.8
Second
4
#19
149.51.4
134.1132.7
Auto18.9
Teleop114.6
End16.6
red by 19.7
3495
#34
129.84.5
108.9113.4
Auto15.5
Teleop99.3
End18.3
Third
148.91.0
129.4130.4
Auto18.2
Teleop117.4
End17.1
red by 54.5
5049
#44
94.411.8
85.297.0
Auto12.0
Teleop71.6
End13.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
21%Auto Quest oddsEarned21%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed