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Red231
1388140.5
4501112.8
3021136.3
Blue388
988128.6
3009146.8
2485172.1
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2883020100200400500600700800231388

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1388
#10
140.510.3
94.4104.8
Auto15.8
Teleop106.7
End17.4
blue by 31.6
172.11.7
151.5153.2
Auto24.7
Teleop127.3
End24.1
Second
3021
#12
136.30.5
133.9134.5
Auto15.5
Teleop103.9
End17.6
blue by 10.6
146.80.2
129.3129.2
Auto16.1
Teleop115.1
End14.2
Third
4501
#30
112.86.4
101.3107.7
Auto17.8
Teleop84.9
End8.6
blue by 15.8
988
#24
128.68.4
88.096.4
Auto16.2
Teleop95.7
End15.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
30%Auto Quest oddsEarned24%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed