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Red214
6519132.2
3577122.7
5285159.3
Blue448
60142.3
399183.2
5059150.2
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2563700100200300400500214448

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
159.33.6
130.1133.7
Auto22.1
Teleop119.4
End19.0
blue by 23.9
399
#17
183.21.9
162.3164.2
Auto19.4
Teleop134.6
End31.5
Second
6519
#26
132.25.6
102.4108.0
Auto17.5
Teleop94.9
End17.9
blue by 18.0
5059
#14
150.22.6
128.1130.7
Auto20.2
Teleop108.7
End21.2
Third
3577
#29
122.70.1
117.1117.0
Auto15.8
Teleop89.4
End21.7
blue by 19.6
60
#23
142.30.3
142.5142.2
Auto18.8
Teleop107.4
End14.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
27%Auto Quest oddsEarned41%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed