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Qual 162018 Las Vegas Regional
Red110
2710148.9
6825108.6
682196.3
Blue310
3255183.7
6826102.5
988128.6
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions243331100200300400500600110310

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2710
#4
148.91.6
130.4→132.0
Auto18.2
Teleop117.4
End17.1
blue by 34.8
3255
#2
183.70.4
166.6→166.9
Auto23.5
Teleop133.2
End27.4
Second
6825
#41
108.66.1
93.6→99.6
Auto17.4
Teleop77.3
End14.8
blue by 20.0
988
#24
128.67.3
96.4→103.7
Auto16.2
Teleop95.7
End15.1
Third
6821
#43
96.31.1
98.6→99.8
Auto16.8
Teleop78.0
End1.2
blue by 6.3
6826
#39
102.55.4
97.1→102.4
Auto15.3
Teleop80.9
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
62%Auto Quest oddsMissed33%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed