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Red188
3021136.3
6957109.4
5429142.5
Blue331
5875105.8
6824126.3
5012138.9
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions306280100150200250350400450500188331

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5429
#22
142.50.3
145.1145.4
Auto16.5
Teleop107.7
End18.5
red by 3.6
5012
#21
138.90.3
133.8133.5
Auto19.2
Teleop105.2
End13.3
Second
3021
#12
136.30.2
135.0134.8
Auto15.5
Teleop103.9
End17.6
red by 10.0
6824
#13
126.36.5
97.3103.8
Auto18.7
Teleop96.6
End9.1
Third
6957
#32
109.42.1
107.7109.8
Auto15.2
Teleop81.5
End16.4
red by 3.6
5875
#37
105.84.1
104.1108.2
Auto16.7
Teleop82.2
End10.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
17%Auto Quest oddsMissed41%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed