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Red376
6411169.1
4486146.6
5851118.8
Blue379
3255183.7
682196.3
5059150.2
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions357287100200400500600376379

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6411
#15
169.12.4
155.9158.3
Auto17.5
Teleop130.1
End21.8
blue by 14.6
183.70.7
166.9167.7
Auto23.5
Teleop133.2
End27.4
Second
4486
#25
146.60.1
147.2147.1
Auto15.4
Teleop105.5
End24.8
blue by 3.6
5059
#14
150.23.0
130.7133.7
Auto20.2
Teleop108.7
End21.2
Third
5851
#20
118.80.3
117.1117.4
Auto18.5
Teleop88.4
End13.6
red by 22.6
6821
#43
96.30.2
99.899.5
Auto16.8
Teleop78.0
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
33%Auto Quest oddsEarned65%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed