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Red270
687166.9
842198.6
502596.9
Blue285
3577122.7
1388140.5
2485172.1
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions364274100200300400500270285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
842
#3
198.62.5
184.3186.8
Auto27.9
Teleop143.7
End27.0
red by 26.4
172.12.7
155.3158.1
Auto24.7
Teleop127.3
End24.1
Second
687
#7
166.91.2
157.0158.2
Auto28.6
Teleop122.2
End18.8
red by 26.4
1388
#10
140.57.1
112.1119.2
Auto15.8
Teleop106.7
End17.4
Third
5025
#31
96.90.2
98.498.1
Auto15.8
Teleop75.9
End5.3
blue by 25.9
3577
#29
122.70.3
117.0116.7
Auto15.8
Teleop89.4
End21.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
88%Auto Quest oddsEarned77%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed