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Red168
3011118.9
3577122.7
7077104.8
Blue416
6411169.1
3255183.7
3009146.8
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1964340100300400500600168416

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3577
#29
122.70.6
116.7117.2
Auto15.8
Teleop89.4
End21.7
blue by 60.9
183.71.6
170.7172.3
Auto23.5
Teleop133.2
End27.4
Second
3011
#35
118.91.9
127.5125.7
Auto18.2
Teleop93.5
End4.8
blue by 50.2
6411
#15
169.11.3
160.1161.5
Auto17.5
Teleop130.1
End21.8
Third
7077
#36
104.81.1
106.9107.9
Auto14.9
Teleop80.7
End10.4
blue by 42.0
146.82.0
135.4137.4
Auto16.1
Teleop115.1
End14.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
42%Auto Quest oddsMissed56%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed