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Red460
6519132.2
3021136.3
2543137.2
Blue178
2429111.6
682196.3
1388140.5
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3392480100200300400500460178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
137.21.5
124.7126.2
Auto16.8
Teleop103.7
End17.2
blue by 3.4
1388
#10
140.52.2
129.0131.1
Auto15.8
Teleop106.7
End17.4
Second
3021
#12
136.30.8
132.3131.5
Auto15.5
Teleop103.9
End17.6
red by 24.7
2429
#33
111.60.3
115.3115.7
Auto16.2
Teleop86.5
End13.2
Third
6519
#26
132.23.3
118.7122.0
Auto17.5
Teleop94.9
End17.9
red by 35.9
6821
#43
96.30.3
100.2100.4
Auto16.8
Teleop78.0
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
14%Auto Quest oddsEarned57%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed