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Red300
2543137.2
3495129.8
2647116.9
Blue425
3021136.3
988128.6
6411169.1
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2713420100200300400500600300425

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
137.22.1
126.2128.2
Auto16.8
Teleop103.7
End17.2
blue by 31.9
6411
#15
169.11.3
161.5162.8
Auto17.5
Teleop130.1
End21.8
Second
3495
#34
129.80.5
122.7123.2
Auto15.5
Teleop99.3
End18.3
blue by 6.5
3021
#12
136.30.2
131.5131.7
Auto15.5
Teleop103.9
End17.6
Third
2647
#27
116.94.1
113.3117.4
Auto17.4
Teleop88.3
End11.1
blue by 11.7
988
#24
128.60.1
122.4122.5
Auto16.2
Teleop95.7
End15.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
35%Auto Quest oddsEarned22%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsEarned