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Red252
6824126.3
4738135.0
3577122.7
Blue91
4501112.8
2485172.1
682196.3
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions272331010020030040050060025291

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4738
#11
135.01.9
125.6127.5
Auto21.1
Teleop103.1
End15.4
blue by 37.1
172.12.3
162.5164.8
Auto24.7
Teleop127.3
End24.1
Second
6824
#13
126.31.5
117.7119.2
Auto18.7
Teleop96.6
End9.1
red by 13.5
4501
#30
112.82.0
120.4122.4
Auto17.8
Teleop84.9
End8.6
Third
3577
#29
122.70.4
117.2117.6
Auto15.8
Teleop89.4
End21.7
red by 26.5
6821
#43
96.30.3
100.4100.1
Auto16.8
Teleop78.0
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
67%Auto Quest oddsMissed66%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed